Another big week last week as Philip Rivers and crew screw me, yet again, out of a perfect week. But hey 4-1 (1-0) ain’t bad.

Last Week: 4-1 (1-0)

Overall: 11-4 (2-1)

Denver Broncos -3.5 at San Diego Chargers

Not overly confident in this game, but I am buying in on Trevor Siemian. He returns this week and plays a San Diego team that simply finds ways to lose. Last week’s muffed snap hurt me to my core, it would have given Oakland a chance to score a TD and cover at -4, but shit happens and that’s what makes it gambling.

Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants -3

The G-Men are already 0-1 against teams from Maryland but I have been very vocal about how overrated I think the Ravens are. I expect a bounce-back week from Eli to the tune of 3 touchdown passes. OBJ will stop crying and start realizing he makes millions of dollars to play a children’s game and have a solid outing. Joe “Elite” Flacco will not live up to the name and struggle.

San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills OVER 44

This feels too good to be true, a bad San Francisco defense against one of the hottest teams in the league AT HOME. The Bills have been playing well and just dropped 30 points in LA against a better Rams team. I’m a big Tyrod Taylor fan and Shady McCoy is on fire right now. Ralph Wilson is going to be rockin’ and I expect the Bills to score at least 4 times.

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions OVER 43.5

The Lions are fresh off an upset win at home against Philly and the Rams lost to the above-mentioned Bills at home. Both teams combined last week to score 43 points against better defenses. This should be an easy over as Stafford will be whipping the ball around the yard and Todd Gurley has a chance to finally break out.

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders -1

I’m all-in on the Raiders, I think Derek Carr is legit, they have one of the best receiving corps in the league and the defense is good enough to get them to 4-1. On the flip side, the Chiefs are coming off a bye week following an embarrassing loss on National TV to Pittsburgh. I don’t think the Chiefs are that good, nor do I think their offense is capable of winning a road game, especially with how well Oakland has played.

BONUS PICK

Atlanta Falcons +6 at Seattle Seahawks

Wild line. Seems like a trap and I am absolutely biting. Seattle has been decent this year, Atlanta is coming off a big win against Denver. Matt Ryan is the best Quarterback in the league right now and the offense has been scoring at will. The Seahawks offense has struggled and they’re banged up.

Survivor Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

The Dolphins are hot garbage, they have no Quarterback, their defense is ranked in the bottom 4 in every category and Big Ben is playing really well this year. The Steelers defense will go to town on a week offensive line.

Like college football betting? Be sure to check out Charlie Wooding’s picks for this week here.